Atlantic Yards Question
Serious question from someone who's not following the atlantic yards/ratnerville project as closely as everyone else around here seems to be:
Do you think they are going to stop it? Or is Ratner un-stoppable?
Just curious about your opinions.
And when is this whole thing scheduled/likely to take place?
Do you think they are going to stop it? Or is Ratner un-stoppable?
Just curious about your opinions.
And when is this whole thing scheduled/likely to take place?
Comments
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Good question. I think that a poll option would be interesting-
Do you think they are going to stop it?
Or is Ratner un-stoppable? -
I personally think that something will be built there but hope that it will be scaled down from the current plan. I wish I could say that I hoped Ratner would be taken out of the picture (because in my opinion he has not made very attractive developments in the past), but I doubt it. I think he's too powerful and connected.
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Medusa wrote: I personally think that something will be built there but hope that it will be scaled down from the current plan. I wish I could say that I hoped Ratner would be taken out of the picture (because in my opinion he has not made very attractive developments in the past), but I doubt it. I think he's too powerful and connected.
It will be scaled down to what he had planned all along. The current plan has the anticipated concessions built-in, so after negotiation, Ratner can build what he had planned all along.
Sorry for the cynicism. :? -
To answer the question, I too think that the project will go through, and I hope that it will be scaled down considerably.
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It might also depend who is voted into office this November. I know Spitzer is re-looking at the project but from what I understand (please, don't quote me on this) if new state senators are elected they might put a kibash on most of the project if they are opposed to it.
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There's absolutely no authority that anyone in New York City has to request downscaling of this project and thus no reason for Ratner to do so. Expecting otherwise is wishful thinking. The DEIS hearings are really just window-dressing--all the negotiations happened a long time ago, in private offices. There are only three men in Albany who can change or stop this project and they all think it's the best thing since sliced bread.
HOWEVER, the case for eminent domain abuse is very good here: Ratner and ESDC's actions seem to almost perfectly match the Supreme Court's example last year of what would NOT be justifiable use of eminent domain (as opposed to the case that they approved in their Kelo decision). And there are a lot of people all around the country who'd like the Court to take another look at ED.
If the eminent domain seizures are disallowed, then the Arena isn't going to fit, unless Ratner knocks down his own Atlantic Mall, which he has already refused to do. Since the land-grab around the railyards is one of the big benefits for Ratner, he might just back out. And a more sensible development might proceed over the railyards alone.
In short, it's going to happen pretty much just the way it's currently described, unless it gets stopped altogether. (It may be downsized some few more percent--the NY Times editorial seemed like a trial balloon for that--but it would still be ludicrously too large.) I suspect that's why DDDB has always aimed to stop this project, as opposed to "negotiate" (as some critics have said would be a more constructive approach). There's simply no leverage to negotiate with, when the developer already has his approval guaranteed.
So my bet on this would be it's either pretty much the whole enchilada--or else a do-again. -
ratner is too well connected to the state and city gov. so it will be built.
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I'm going the pessimistic route and saying it'll be built to at least 50% of the current plan, and that the impact will be definitely noticeable (and not for the better).
Hope everyone gets real comfortable with alternate routes home other than Flatbush, cause after stadium + many tall buildings, it'll be a two mile parking lot. -
I agree with Idlewild, I think Spitzer is the best hope here. Although Ratner's connections are deep and varied throughout the city and state political establishment, it is his friendship with Gov. Pataki (Harvard or Columbia roomates? or something equally close apparently) that has gotten him this far. The ESDC and Charles Gargano act on Pataki's command and Atlantic Yards as a project relies completely on state approvals.
Therefore, I think Spitzer's move to get more time before public hearings are held is a ploy to make sure the AG is in office as the new governor before a shovel hits the ground. That way, he will exert FAR more control over the process (and the money involved) since he will be the effective head of ESDC and Gargano will, god-willing, be unemployed.
If Spitzer gets his way and delays the project's timing, it is an open question as to how he will influence it given that (I beleive) he has said he supports the Atlantic Yards concept. -
The current proposal is completely unworkable. The idea that you can have 6860 units in a twenty acre site, along with commercial, retail and sports facilities strains credulity. It also is unlikely given that the housing market is peaking, and his investors will start to bail. And the neighborhood has lead a highly effective resistance- if you look around, the only publications writing positively about Ratner are the people on its payroll, like the New York Times and Errol Louis.
Something will probably be built, but Ratner doesn't care about this investment as much as we do. Whatever happens will be completely different from what is planned now.
But the point that gets me all fired up is, Who is supposed to be the boss? Even if it were a "done deal," so what? Should we roll over and play dead whenever the politicians want us to?
In case y'all don't know, I am a partisan in this fight. I think if we get Bill Batson and Chris Owens elected, we will show that the pro-community/pro-transparency/anti-Ratner movement is a political force. The best chance we have for getting any democratic oversight is by winning at the ballot box.
Please contact me at [email protected] if you want to get involved. -
Carnivore wrote: [quote=Medusa]I personally think that something will be built there but hope that it will be scaled down from the current plan. I wish I could say that I hoped Ratner would be taken out of the picture (because in my opinion he has not made very attractive developments in the past), but I doubt it. I think he's too powerful and connected.
It will be scaled down to what he had planned all along. The current plan has the anticipated concessions built-in, so after negotiation, Ratner can build what he had planned all along.
Sorry for the cynicism. :?
I don't think that's cynical, I think you're exactly right. I would be shocked at Ratner's lack of negotiating skills, frankly, if this weren't true. I'm sure he'll be happy to get more than he expected, but I have no doubt he threw out as big a number as he could, figuring it would be whittled down. It already has been, and I'm sure it will be more.
But the real negotiations will be, and have been, far more ludicrous. The Spitzers and Silvers of the world won't be swayed by a 5% reduction in the AY project--no, they will want something for their own backyard. There will be a key allocation of funds to fund some construction in a key district, or an influential special interest group with connections to Ratner will throw its campaign weight behind Spitzer--something along those lines. Horse trading will settle things, as always.
As for the all or nothing scenario, remember that Ratner already owns a huge portion of the lands in question, and has invested tons of $$ getting to this point. I don't think he'd throw in the towel so easily. However, I do agree that the eminent domain battle will be very difficult for him, and could seriously alter the whole development outlook. -
IMHO - It will get built and it won't be downsized.
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I think the best description comes from Chris Smith's article in the most recent New York mag. The following paragraphs express very nicely how I have felt about the entire project since I started learning about it:
"As a political reporter, I know that money and spin usually win. But in looking at Atlantic Yards up close, it’s outrageous to see the absolute absence of democratic process. There’s been no point in the past four years at which the public has been given a meaningful chance to decide whether something this big and transformative should be built on public property. Instead, race, basketball, and Frank Gehry have been tossed out as distractions to steer attention away from the real issue, money. Ratner’s team has mounted an elaborate road show before community boards and local groups, at which people have been allowed to ask questions and vent, and the developer has made a grand show of listening, then tinkering around the edges. But the fundamentals of the projectâ€â€an arena plus massive residential and commercial buildingsâ€â€has never been up for discussion. Ratner, with Gehry’s aid, has built a titanium-clad, irregularly angled tank and driven it relentlessly through a gauntlet of neighborhood slingshots. And Bloomberg and Patakiâ€â€our only elected representatives with the power to force a real debate about Atlantic Yardsâ€â€instead jumped aboard early and fastened their seat belts. What at first seemed to me impressive on a clinical levelâ€â€a developer’s savvy use of state-of-the-art political tacticsâ€â€ends up being, on closer inspection, truly chilling.
Every time I begin to buy into the lyrical people-have-the-power rhetoric of the opposition, to fantasize that Goldstein’s impending eminent-domain lawsuit has a prayer of succeeding, or to get revved up about the density trivia, someone smacks me back into reality. Most recently, it was a prominent Democrat. “In some cases, an army of Davids could take down Goliath,†he said. “But not this one. It’s a fait accompli.†" - Chris Smith
(http://newyorkmetro.com/news/features/18862/index.html) -
BrookFetish, that's a great quote.
I'm not against the AY project in theory, I'm against the process by which it has been forced on Brooklyn.
I'm also against how ugly I think it is but that's another debate. -
i'm not sure if AY can be stopped or not, but it's certainly worth a try. it's too big, too dense, w/unmitigatable effects on traffic, environment, etc, etc. the worst of it is the kabuki like process whereby this thing has been foisted upon the borough. public input? land use review? i don't think so.
if 10,000 people show up at next wednesday's (aug. 23) "public review" then perhaps the powers that be will realize that their political LIVES are at stake. there's nothing like the prospect of voter revolt to jolt a sonambulent poltico into action. time to wake up, marty. hoops, housing and jobs might well be your -
pluvious wrote: i'm not sure if AY can be stopped or not, but it's certainly worth a try. it's too big, too dense, w/unmitigatable effects on traffic, environment, etc, etc. the worst of it is the kabuki like process whereby this thing has been foisted upon the borough. public input? land use review? i don't think so.
wait, i want to know what you mean by "kabuki like". did the process involve cross-dressing? or elaborate face paint?
i don't disagree with your point, and this is an honest question. (i am a big word nerd and like to have plenty of metaphors at my disposal. this could be a pretty sweet addition; i just want to be sure i understand your meaning.) -
sweet tea wrote:
I think Pluvious meant that the whole thing has been dressed up in an elaborate cover to hide what is really underneath. Sort of what some of the posts above are saying.
wait, i want to know what you mean by "kabuki like". did the process involve cross-dressing? or elaborate face paint?
(Not sure cross-dressing needs to be involved in Kabuki) -
kosherdave wrote:
well, it typically is. early in its history, it was only performed by women, and they played the male roles, too. women were banned from performing in 1629 (short version: prostitution hullaballoo), and from then on men played all the roles, including the female ones. i think there are a few co-ed troupes now, but they're certainly the exception.
(Not sure cross-dressing needs to be involved in Kabuki) -
didnt they do the same thing in european plays. all the roles were play by males. same thing with chinese ones all roles up to modern times were play by guys.
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yes, in the shakespearean era, for instance, young men did play the women's roles. two things about kabuki make it particularly interesting on this topic: one, that it was actually invented by a woman and originally performed only by women (while men performed noh theatre); two, it remains almost entirely sex-segregated. oh, and another interesting twist is that at a certain point, even young men were forbidden as performers, because there were too many fights over the "favors" of particularly handsome ones....
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sweet tea wrote: yes, in the shakespearean era, for instance, young men did play the women's roles. two things about kabuki make it particularly interesting on this topic: one, that it was actually invented by a woman and originally performed only by women (while men performed noh theatre); two, it remains almost entirely sex-segregated. oh, and another interesting twist is that at a certain point, even young men were forbidden as performers, because there were too many fights over the "favors" of particularly handsome ones....
like that still doesnt happen now days for actors
or actresses
. hehe do the director a favor
and you might get nice staring role
.
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