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Assembly District Special Election happens on May 5 - Page 2 — Brooklynian

Assembly District Special Election happens on May 5

2

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  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    Few things go together as well as politicians and award ceremonies held during a race:

    image
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited April 2015
    image


    BTW, Diana has decided than an affiliation with CB9 is no longer in her interests and her opponent is claiming that she contributed to its dysfunction:   http://www.kingscountypolitics.com/43rd-ad-race-richardson-runs-afoul-of-community-board/

  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited April 2015
    Shirley Patterson is now being placed on the defensive as a result of taking a donation from a developer.

    http://m.nydailynews.com/news/politics/controversial-developer-donates-brooklyn-special-electio-article-1.2191279?cid=bitly

    Note, there is nothing illegal about it, but that isn't going to stop those who (naively) think government should be purely about "the people".

  • crownheightster
    crownheightster
    Hah. Diana all the way. 
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    Diana is building a nice little pile of endorsements. She added the Carpenters Union to it today.

    http://myemail.constantcontact.com/Carpenters-for-Richardson.html?soid=1120353893479&aid=qVVYjBnLEk4

    ....Union members tend to turn out, even in obscure special elections.
  • msboombastic
    msboombastic
    Diana turned up in person at my building over the weekend to talk to me (a likely voter) about her goals and encourage me to get out to vote on May 5th. I was impressed. 
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    I think Diana did pretty well in the NY1 debate as well.



    I found it pretty laughable that Davis tried to smear her as a result of being endorsed by WFP.

    ...a few years ago, he sought the WFP endorsement but did not receive it.
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited April 2015
    Board of Elections publishes its special election guide:
    http://www.nyccfb.info/public/voter-guide/general-2015/index.aspx

    She might pull this off, and become one of the few candidates that ran on the WFP line,  AND not also on the Dem line to win an Albany seat.


    11056102_826866240733553_8875657167091416340_n
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited April 2015
    However, could the various "democratic like" candidates split the vote to the degree that Mr Raitport wins?

    Picture is of people registering to vote outside 770


    CDe_kDQWEAAs9R8

    photo:   https://twitter.com/Mendy4Assembly



  • pheightsresident
    pheightsresident
    The Hasidim are mobilizing! Great to see democracy in action. While I don't live in the district, I'm going to the forum tonight. 
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited April 2015
    feel free to post your reactions here live.
  • pheightsresident
    pheightsresident
    edited April 2015
    I don't know why I thought the thing started at 6, but I was still there for the entire thing. For starters, only two candidates showed up, D. Richardson and S. Paterson, though Paterson showed up an hour late, by which time the all of the questions had already been presented to Richardson; Paterson had been at a donor event, an explanation that pissed off most in the room. We, thus, essentially had a two part/session candidate forum, one for Richardson and one for Paterson (as Richardson had already been asked all available questions by the time Paterson showed, she left the stage for Paterson).

    Rachel from DNA Info moderated the forum and did a pretty good job.

    Moving on:

    -Richardson was very personable, even going around to introduce herself to the entire room prior to the event starting. Also, she offered more concrete solutions of the two candidates present, which was refreshing.

    -Paterson was incoherent often times and gave the same old, tired political spiel (e.g. vague promises). Worse, she admitted that she wasn't aware of many things that were going on in the district. Still, I give her credit for showing up, even if she was late. 

    -MTOPP's Alicia Boyd, Maxine Barnes, and one or two others were there stirring things up. Nothing as bad as their behavior at CB9 meetings, though.

    All in all, not a bad opportunity to hear where the candidates stand on many issues (I'm sure that News 1 or DNA Info will have a more detailed analysis of the night); even a lack of an answer from a candidate is informative. Though neither Paterson nor Richardson are my cup of tea, politically, I must reiterate that I was impressed by how Richardson carriers herself and that she was actually offering smart, practical answers to solve some of the problems facing the district. 

    By the way: while not exactly a sign of momentum on its own, I found it telling that the 2 previously undecided people I was sitting next to tonight decided to cast their votes for Richardson. 
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited April 2015
    Video of last night:
  • lilern
    lilern
    The video has been pulled - more election shenanigans
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited April 2015
    That is odd.

    Here's a little press on the event: http://observer.com/2015/04/housing-issues-dominate-brooklyn-assembly-forum/

  • lilern
    lilern
    I emailed Rachel from DNA Info asking her about the video disappearing and this is her verbatim response: 

    "Hi I just spoke to the man who recorded it... He said he pulled it because
    Shirley patterson's audio was very low and he wants to try to fix that and
    repost it.

    I recorded the audio but not video."


    I had no problem hearing Shirley when I watched it at my desk.  I have a feeling the video may not be coming back for public viewing. 

  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited May 2015
    The race now has exactly one week left.

    Although the district contains something like 120,000 residents and 60,000 registered voters, I think about 11,000 will vote.

    Based on no polling or methodology what-so-ever, here are my predictions:
    Richardson 3500 votes
    Raitport 3200
    Patterson 2500 votes
    Davis 2200

  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited May 2015
    Those who live in the 43rd and are registered to vote, are about endure a week of phone calls, knocks and their door and junk mail in their mailbox.

    Shirley Patterson is mobilizing her supporters for same: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1rPsXIDMd2yvwydxS_gIli3QZ0tUSaKi3-z2UV8XLosw/viewform
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    Here's some coverage with some video, and lots of opinion:

    http://thealbanyproject.com/video-shirley-patterson-crashes-and-burns-ad43-forum/
  • homeowner
    homeowner
    I was with some BK politicos last night and the professionals think Richardson has it wrapped up. When I opined that my boy Mendy was busy trying to put every single Jewish vote in the neighborhood out in the street, and could play spoiler, they said that the numbers show that Mendy still needs to get at least a small number of black votes in order to win and given that the non-orthodox Republicans in the district probably aren't coming out for an SE, the math doesn't work in his favor. 

    At this point I think its down to the two of them and the rest of the Dems don't have a lot of hope of catching either one of them.
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    I kinda wonder what happened to Musa Moore. To my knowledge he is no longer running, and I haven't seen any explanation of same.
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    press:

    http://nypost.com/2015/05/01/eric-adams-and-wfp-battle-over-open-assembly-seat/
  • raulism
    raulism
    @whynot - Geoffrey Davis beat Musa for District Leader in the 43rd. Geoffrey won by old-fashioned door knocking and hard work. 

    Regarding the NY Post article, it say: 
    “Richardson is the sole candidate to pledge not to accept a penny from landlords, so we know she’ll stand strong for central Brooklyn’s working families,” said WFP state director Bill Lipton.

    What? WFP is bankrolled by the likes of Bruce Ratner. Check out Atlantic Yards Report from today: 

    If anyone thinks that WFP is a "progressive" party, then they have selectively forgotten their support of Cuomo in the last election. Oh, the books I could write on that subject. 

    Richardson is similar to the other WFP candidates in the area from 2014. She's younger and more dynamic, and lots of folks thought Sikura and Dorancy were going to win last year, since both had the backing of WFP, de Blasio and Clarke. Both lost. 

    Personally, I have found the winning candidates, Jesse Hamilton and Jo Anne Simon, to be community-oriented and responsive. Shirley may not be the most dynamic, but she has my support. 


  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    Above, I predicted Shirley Patterson will come in 3rd.

    I still don't think she is going to win.

    If she and her supporters run a successful campaign against Diana Richardson, I think Mendy Raitport could win.

    Developer money doesn't bother me. Smart developers hedge their bets by donating to all of the candidates.

    A candidate would need incredible ground level support to refuse developer $ and still win. ...I don't see anyone running that meets those criteria.
  • raulism
    raulism
    @whynot - yeah, here's a website that puts Richardson tied for last place with Mendy: 

    I don't trust any of these polls. I think the Lubavitch guys are too smart to let Mendy win. If he does, and we get a Republican in the 43rd, they would never see the end of the repercussions from the rest of the district. 

    The reality is that a low turnout race is hard to predict, and a special election like this is especially tough. I just spoke with some of my friends in the Shirley camp, and they seem pretty confident.

    But my main point to voters in the area: If you are progressive, don't vote WFP. Here's an article from November about it, and I could post many progressives who make different arguments with the same conclusion: 

    Here's a Green Party argument against WFP: 

    Oh, and I certainly oppose the Socialist Worker Party, but this is a pretty well-written article about the WFP: 

  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited May 2015
    duplicate
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited May 2015
    The various parties have been subject to so many criminal convictions
    that I can't say I care about a candidates party affiliation. As a
    result of not living in the district and perceiving this is as a petty
    position that comes with mostly the power to receive and grant
    commendations, I kind like that a 3rd party candidate might win.

    I also like to see the Kings County Democratic machine depict itself as
    so inept that it can't even get a candidate on their line. ...that
    doesn't happen very often. :)
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    Mendy's event this morning:


    CEG_sCxUsAEbXGW.jpg_large
  • raulism
    raulism
    Here's a post by one of the most savvy Lubavitch activists. We may be distant politically, but they mistrust WFP for some of the same reasons I do, and they trust Patterson for the same reasons I do. I think she will be more responsive to the neighborhood than a WFP candidate. 



    Screen Shot 2015-05-04 at 9.48.01 AM
  • whynot_31
    whynot_31
    edited May 2015
    I tend to think people who believe elections are about "trust" or "responsiveness" are odd.

    Usually, Brooklyn elections merely provide voters with a yet another chance to elect a candidate that will be beholden to the Democratic machine.

    This one is different in that we have two very viable candidates that won't be effective in Albany, but will likely have a great time poking fun at the Brooklyn democratic machine.

    Strictly for the joy it would bring them (as well as me), I'd vote for either Mendy or Diana.

    http://crownheights.info/chabad-news/482287/photos-100s-attend-raitport-assembly-event/
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