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Election 2008: So is Hillary Clinton finished? - Page 2 — Brooklynian

Election 2008: So is Hillary Clinton finished?

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  • clinton will never be a great orator, but i thought her speech was good, had the right tone.
  • politics is about falling in love
    nobody knows this better than slick willy
    he pulled the right emotional strings this go-round
    and enough swing voters made love to hillary last night

    this morning they're gnawing their arm off,
    trying to leave the room without waking her up...
  • interestingly, while hanging out with a bunch of chicks last night, most of them expressed a "I just don't want another white male in office" sentiment. as far as obama v. hillary they were divided, but many were willing to vote for hillary simply because she is a woman and a democrat. while I realize that politics is more complex than this, I have a feeling a vast majority of the country votes on similar grounds - "he's a guy I'd like to have a beer with!" - so I have zero issues with that sort of justification.

    and yeah, for the record, I'll probably vote for hillary.
  • Ain't Democracy fun :D This is Very, Very, good for democracy - tons of people voting, lots of choices, new registrations, young people involved. I love it.

    But, I agree with the Times editorial admonition today also - let's hope the Clinton's can contain their worst tendencies and keep this election on a bit more lofty plane then we are used to...
    http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/09/opinion/09wed1.html?ref=opinion
  • alafairnadia wrote: interestingly, while hanging out with a bunch of chicks last night, most of them expressed a "I just don't want another white male in office" sentiment. as far as obama v. hillary they were divided, but many were willing to vote for hillary simply because she is a woman and a democrat. while I realize that politics is more complex than this, I have a feeling a vast majority of the country votes on similar grounds - "he's a guy I'd like to have a beer with!" - so I have zero issues with that sort of justification.

    and yeah, for the record, I'll probably vote for hillary.
    I think "I don't want another white male in office" and "he's a guy I'd like to have a beer with" are equally stupid ways to pick a candidate. How about picking the best person for the job?
  • if it were a justification for voting for katherine harris or alan keyes, i might agree with you, but while "time for not a white man" isn't my reason for supporting obama (or hillary, who's a close second with me), i don't think it's as foolish as voting for the guy you'd have a beer with. given that these are strong candidates we're discussing, i don't think it's unreasonable to consider the potential societal ramifications of changing the face of leadership in this country when deciding how to vote.
  • sweet tea wrote: given that these are strong candidates we're discussing, i don't think it's unreasonable to consider the potential societal ramifications of changing the face of leadership in this country when deciding how to vote.
    I wonder what the actual domestic societal ramifications will be? I feel like the US presidency is of considerable importance to the rest of the world (who don't get to vote on it) because it does matter what wars the sole superpower tries to wage or peace deals it tries to broker or environmental treaties it chooses to ratify. But that domestically, the Federal government is so weak and change so glacial and particular interests so entrenched, that life for US citizen Joe Schmuck won't change must for 8 years of Obama or Hillary instead of Bush. When it comes to domestics, monetary policy is independent, fiscal policy is mostly hamstrung and mostly pre-budgeted, leaving social policy and 'moral issues'. And neither of these candidates is promising to attempt radical change as far as I can tell, even if they were capable of achieving it within the current system.
  • doctorj wrote: [quote=sweet tea]given that these are strong candidates we're discussing, i don't think it's unreasonable to consider the potential societal ramifications of changing the face of leadership in this country when deciding how to vote.
    I wonder what the actual domestic societal ramifications will be? I feel like the US presidency is of considerable importance to the rest of the world (who don't get to vote on it) because it does matter what wars the sole superpower tries to wage or peace deals it tries to broker or environmental treaties it chooses to ratify. But that domestically, the Federal government is so weak and change so glacial and particular interests so entrenched, that life for US citizen Joe Schmuck won't change must for 8 years of Obama or Hillary instead of Bush. When it comes to domestics, monetary policy is independent, fiscal policy is mostly hamstrung and mostly pre-budgeted, leaving social policy and 'moral issues'. And neither of these candidates is promising to attempt radical change as far as I can tell, even if they were capable of achieving it within the current system.

    ...all of which would make voting for symbolic change (aka, let's give kids besides white boys someone to look up to who looks like them, etc.) even more reasonable. that's what i meant by societal ramifications, not necessarily the concrete achievements of one administration or another.

    however, i also think you're overstating the situation a bit. the president may not have much theoretical power when it comes to making laws, but s/he does have a fair amount of clout and therefore plenty to do with what bills come before congress. the president also nominates supreme court justices -- and let's face it, ginsburg is not going to hold on forever -- and the balance of the court makes a huge difference in domestic issues, at least if you have a uterus or dark skin and a desire to vote. also, all that international stuff does effect my life -- if we weren't at war, my friend would still be alive.
  • doctorj wrote: I feel like the US presidency is of considerable importance to the rest of the world (who don't get to vote on it) because it does matter what wars the sole superpower tries to wage or peace deals it tries to broker or environmental treaties it chooses to ratify.
    Not to get off topic, but this made me think about a speech I heard from George W this morning on the radio from the West Bank (I think.) He said that there would be peace in the middle east, a signed treaty, done deal, before he left office. Well Goooooollllllllllllllly. Isn't that great to hear? Do people even listen to GW anymore? Muzzle, anyone?
  • daver wrote: [quote=doctorj]I feel like the US presidency is of considerable importance to the rest of the world (who don't get to vote on it) because it does matter what wars the sole superpower tries to wage or peace deals it tries to broker or environmental treaties it chooses to ratify.
    Not to get off topic, but this made me think about a speech I heard from George W this morning on the radio from the West Bank (I think.) He said that there would be peace in the middle east, a signed treaty, done deal, before he left office. Well Goooooollllllllllllllly. Isn't that great to hear? Do people even listen to GW anymore? Muzzle, anyone?

    i like wonkette's headline about it:

    "Olmert Praises Bush, World Vomits In Own Mouth"
  • sweet tea wrote: i like wonkette's headline about it:

    "Olmert Praises Bush, World Vomits In Own Mouth"
    OMFG, that is some funny stuff right there.
    Plus, who knows: if war can’t bring peace to the Middle East, maybe photo-ops and verbal fellatio can.
    http://wonkette.com/342871/olmert-praises-bush-world-vomits-in-own-mouth
    The video is.. uh... I can't help but laugh. But it is in a bad way laughing, not happy and carefree. Damn.
  • Here's another thing to think about: Charisma is important. Think about it this way: if someone is able to inspire the country to vote for him/her, just think about how much easier that person would have it in trying to inspire congress to go along with his agenda. That makes the president pretty powerful domestically, even if indirectly.

    Of course, charisma should not be separated from agenda. Hitler was charismatic, after all. But if you have two candidates with similar appropriate agendas, you're better off voting for the more charismatic one because he/she is more likely to get things done.

    Bush isn't that charismatic. He just had the good fortune to run against two very uncharismatic (and uninspiring) Democrats. (The Gore of 2000 was very different than the Gore of today.)
  • Thought I would bring this back up in light of Obama trouncing Hil two to one in SC... And the somewhat unexpected Kennedy primary endorsement.
    http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/28/us/politics/28kennedy.html
  • actually, i've been progressively becoming more of a hillary fan in recent weeks, to the point where i'm no longer sure who i will vote for. (exciting, for sure, that there are two candidates i don't loathe. come to it, i don't even really loathe edwards, though i definitely won't vote for him.)

    am i just such a democrat that i can't stand seeing my candidate win?
  • sweet tea wrote: am i just such a democrat that i can't stand seeing my candidate win?
    :lol:

    I would be happy with either of them. But my standards are admittedly rather low, given the current officeholder.
  • Subject: Playing the "Black" card to scare Whites...

    Bill Clinton is a smooth, educated, savvy and thoughtful politician.

    Why then is Bill Clinton talking about Jessie Jackson winning South Carolina in 1984 and 1988 after Obama winning South Carolina. Why go back to Jessie?

    Who the hell is thinking about Jessie Jackson right now and why is he relevant to the discussion about Obama...

    Interesting.
    The Clinton's are showing their "true color", so to speak.
  • Subject: Re: Playing the "Black" card to scare Whites...

    SevenOneEighty wrote:
    Who the hell is thinking about Jessie Jackson right now and why is he relevant to the discussion about Obama...
    Probably quite a lot of people around the world actually, since he's the only person I know of that the BBC World Service has interviewed regarding Obama lately. If he's talking about Obama, and such a well-regarded global news outlet is broadcasting what he has to say, then that makes him instantly relevant and on people's minds, for a short while anyhow.
  • I'm not buying that one....not completely.
    Democratic Results

    1988: In 1988, South Carolina Democrats held a caucus rather than a primary. Jesse Jackson won, defeating Al Gore with approximately 55% of the vote.

    1992: Bill Clinton won with approximately 69% of the vote, defeating Paul Tsongas.

    1996: Uncontested (Clinton was the incumbent president and was renominated).
    2000: Al Gore won with 92% of the vote, defeating Bill Bradley.

    2004: John Edwards won with 45% of the vote, defeating John Kerry.

    2008: Barack Obama won, defeating Hillary Rodham Clinton and John Edwards, with approximately 55% of the vote.
    Why not bring up Gore in 2000?

    Edwards won S.C. in 2004 ( the LAST election before this one) and is currently running against his wife in THIS election (barely).Why do we have to go back 20 years - before his administration- when there are much more relevant examples of winning in S.C. and NOT becoming president or the nominee. Even Dean had a head of steam early in 2004 and still lost the nominee. Bill Clinton was trying to "package" Obama with the "other black guy that won way back when" that could NEVER win. The one with a lot of political baggage and racial politics behind him.

    I think you are underestimating the Clintons and overestimating and the average persons understanding of the in depth analysis offered by the foreign BBC news service - whatever it was. No, most Americans are NOT concerning themselves with what the BBC is saying about Reverend Jesse Jackson during an American presidential election in 2008. They just aren't.

    The BBC is "on the outside looking in"and I have seen it miss the mark many times. Jesse Jackson 1984 is not part of the current national dialouge about change and moving forward in America in 2008. He only came up when Obama started kicking Hillary's ass - with lots of white help.

    And if you ask any person on the street (or especially a foreigner watching the BBC from Scotland or Pakistan) what the comparison is between Jesse Jackson and Obama is, what would be their first answer? Few would have any idea what the political comparisons between Jackson and Obama are today - especially BBC watchers overseas.

    My very large African American family (many in South Carolina) have not been discussing Jessie Jackson at all. He just isn't relevant to the discussion about Obama and today's election. This is true no matter how many foreign new services STILL consider Jesse a "Black leader". I think that just speaks to how out of touch the BBC is with what is going on in America and with most African Americans in 2008 if they are bringing Jesse Jackson back in to relevance. Some people voting in this years election were not even born in 1984.

    I'm not waiting for Al Sharpton and Louis Farrakhan's popularity to come up in comparison to Obama from the Clintons. Surely his middle name (Hussein) will get dropped in a few times for "shock value" before it is all over...wait for it...just wait for it.

    and also, just keeping ti strictly scientific:

    http://newsbusters.org/blogs/tom-blumer/2008/01/27/mickey-kaus-refutes-clintons-obama-jackson-comparison">
    http://newsbusters.org/blogs/tom-blumer/2008/01/27/mickey-kaus-refutes-clintons-obama-jackson-comparison
    Mickey Kaus Refutes Clinton's Obama-Jackson Comparison
    Photo of Tom Blumer.
    By Tom Blumer | January 27, 2008 - 11:02 ET

    In the wake of Hillary Clinton's 2-1 thrashing in South Carolina at the hands of the politician I typically refer to as BOOHOO (Barack O-bomba Overseas Hussein “Obambi” Obama), the spin from Mrs. Clinton's husband is that it has no more significance than Jesse Jackson's Palmetto State victories in 1984 and 1988.

    Kausfiles blogger Mickey Kaus shows that the claim doesn't stand up to scrutiny:

    Obama got about a quarter (24%) of the white vote, according to exit polls.

    ..... Update: Alert emailer L finds the following in a Christian Science Monitor story from March 17, 1988: Although Jackson's white support was significantly higher in South Carolina than in 1984 - it is estimated this year at between 5 and 10 percent of the voters - he has not made much headway with populist, blue-collar whites ...

    24% vs. 5-10%. It looks as if Bill Clinton's comparison will not work to his wife's advantage.... More: Tom Maguire asks the same question and gets the same answer, from an old New York Times story. The "5 percent to 10 percent" estimate of the white vote for Jackson seems to come from "party leaders."

    As a clarification, the reason the Times got the 1988 information from "party leaders" is that, at least per Wikipedia, South Carolina was a Democratic caucus state in 1988. The Times's article further noted that Jackson received almost no white support in 1984.

    Will Old Media outlets note the, ahem, vast white discrepancy between what Bill Clinton is claiming and the truth?


    Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.

    —Tom Blumer is a CPA based in Mason, Ohio and a contributing editor to NewsBusters
  • It already has. I've seen websites that assert that a vote for Obama is a vote for terrorism, using his middle name as proof.

    But this has such a tinge of desperation that I don't think people are going to respond to that. They seem to come from people who just don't want a black president, period, and there isn't anything to be done with those people.

    My friend had to watch the State of the Union speech for work (she runs NY1 Noticias). After commiserating with her, we at least had the hope that if Obama gets elected, we would actually have listenable political speeches and her job wouldn't be so hairy.
  • I have a simple question: why does everyone, media included, keep calling Obama 'black' when he's just as white as black? (not to mention, not the descendent of African-American slaves commonly called black here).

    Is it ok if I call him 'white/Kenyan-American', or just 'white' for short? He could become the nation's first 'white/Kenyan' president.
  • Let's just say that in the USA, White is a squishy category but Black is not.
    Although you could look at it the other way around.
    :D

    and now a moment in art history,
    from C Carr's "A Brief History of Outrage: The 51 (or So) Greatest Avant-Garde Moments"
    http://www.villagevoice.com/news/9838,carr,754,4.html
    1986: Adrian Piper, an African American artist sometimes mistaken for white, makes calling cards that read: "Dear Friend, I am black. I am sure you did not realize this when you made/laughed at/agreed with that racist remark..."
  • doctorj wrote: I have a simple question: why does everyone, media included, keep calling Obama 'black' when he's just as white as black? (not to mention, not the descendent of African-American slaves commonly called black here).

    Is it ok if I call him 'white/Kenyan-American', or just 'white' for short? He could become the nation's first 'white/Kenyan' president.
    You could ask any taxi driver who refuses to pick someone up because of a racial perception to get an answer, but here is a good starting point on the history in America:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-drop_rule

    One Drop Rule:
    The one-drop rule is a historical colloquial term in the United States that holds that a person with any trace of sub-Saharan ancestry (however small or invisible) cannot be considered white[1] and so unless said person has an alternative non-white ancestry they can claim, such as Native American, Asian, Arab, Australian aboriginal, they must be considered black.

    This notion of invisible/intangible membership in a "racial" group has seldom been applied to people of Native American ancestry (see Race in the United States for details). The notion has been largely applied to those of black African ancestry. Langston Hughes wrote, "You see, unfortunately, I am not black. There are lots of different kinds of blood in our family. But here in the United States, the word 'Negro' is used to mean anyone who has any Negro blood at all in his veins. In Africa, the word is more pure. It means all Negro, therefore black. I am brown."[2]

    During the Black Pride era of the Civil Rights Movement, the stigma associated with sub-Saharan ancestry was claimed as a socio-political advantage.[3]...

    Mainly because of the one-drop rule there are many pale-skinned people that are considered black. In many of these instances the person can actually have more white ancestry than black. There are examples of how this could happen through the generations. During slavery, there could have been a mulatto person, who because of the one-drop rule, was considered black. If they then had a child with a white person, the child would have been considered one-quarter black, but still considered black. There are plenty of people through American history that have been more Caucasian than sub-Saharan (Black) but have been generally, or often, considered black. Examples of this would include Sally Hemings and G.K. Butterfield. However these people are the exception, not the rule. The average person who self-identifies as black in America has at least 53% of their ancestors from sub-Saharan Africa. Only 10% of Americans who self-identify as black are less than 50% sub-Saharan in ancestry.[12]...
    One of many long held American traditions...
    We didn't make the rules up.

    Here is a great book on the subject - there are many, many more:
    image
  • "One drop rule". Wow. I can understand certain groups, such as indigenous people who want to self-identify on the basis of 1/4 or 1/8th for cultural reasons, but this is just messed up.
  • doctorj wrote: "One drop rule". Wow. I can understand certain groups, such as indigenous people who want to self-identify on the basis of 1/4 or 1/8th for cultural reasons, but this is just messed up.
    but don't you see the logic? this way, you can rape your slaves generation after generation, and still be sure you can legally sell their sons before they get old enough to come kill you in the night. or (worse?) old enough to marry your daughters....
  • By the way, about Jesse Jackson and the BBC, I meant it very literally and without judgement. As in many people around the world yesterday happened to be thinking about Jackson in the context of Obama because of that interview, myself included, such is the power of the media. I take your word for it that it was a cynical ploy by the Clintons to bring him up the other day. We can agree that he ought not be relevant in general, we can agree that the BBC isn't particularly in touch with US politics, nor is it an opinion-former among US voters.

    But the World Service has an estimated audience of over 160 million people -- that's more than the number of Americans who vote. It's the largest audience of any international broadcaster; very popular in Asia, India, and Africa. So it just struck me when the question arose "who's thinking about Jackson", because I hadn't thought about him in years, then all of a sudden I heard him on the radio talking about Obama, as no doubt did millions of others around the world, that there was in fact a brief bubble of global consciousness connecting the two. Not to worry, by now, Jackson has shrunk back into obscurity, and your regularly scheduled program will resume.
  • the nyt has the text of the debate, as well as the video, if, like me, you prefer to read than to watch:

    http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/01/31/us/politics/20080131_DEBATE_GRAPHIC.html#video

    and, re: the BBC, i agree it's not a major news source for most americans (although i bet its reach has expanded considerably thanks to firefox's "latest headlines" tab) but i did think of this conversation the other day, when i found out about edwards' resignation from the bbc a good half hour before it appeared on the nyt site.
  • Could a Clinton win for the nomination spell a Democratic defeat in the general election?

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/john-pearce/hillarys-looming-electab_b_84549.html
  • Carnivore wrote: Could a Clinton win for the nomination spell a Democratic defeat in the general election?

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/john-pearce/hillarys-looming-electab_b_84549.html
    John Pearce and Kathy Cramer, founders and Directors of Ralph Don't Run wrote: Here, then, is the Clinton disaster scenario. Even in a year when Democrats are in great position to win in November, if Hillary unifies the Republicans, loses independents, and loses the progressive left, her chances of winning the general election are slim indeed.
    No sale. Srsly, I think that's nonsense.
    If you vote for Obama because you think Clinton is unelectable, I think you should rethink your support for Obama. There's better reasons to decide who to vote for.
    Ralph Nader? McCain appealing to independents more than Clinton? Those are a different brand of "independents" - McCain's enthusiastic support of the war makes HRC look pretty good for any anti-war voter. It might even get her off the hook for that initial authorization vote.
    Clinton/Obama '08!
  • pitu wrote: [quote=Carnivore]Could a Clinton win for the nomination spell a Democratic defeat in the general election?

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/john-pearce/hillarys-looming-electab_b_84549.html
    John Pearce and Kathy Cramer, founders and Directors of Ralph Don't Run wrote: Here, then, is the Clinton disaster scenario. Even in a year when Democrats are in great position to win in November, if Hillary unifies the Republicans, loses independents, and loses the progressive left, her chances of winning the general election are slim indeed.
    No sale. Srsly, I think that's nonsense.
    If you vote for Obama because you think Clinton is unelectable, I think you should rethink your support for Obama. There's better reasons to decide who to vote for.
    Ralph Nader? McCain appealing to independents more than Clinton? Those are a different brand of "independents" - McCain's enthusiastic support of the war makes HRC look pretty good for any anti-war voter. It might even get her off the hook for that initial authorization vote.
    Clinton/Obama '08!

    If you are a democrat you should be worried.
    the war issue is big, but not in the way NYers and many democrats I hear think it is.It is an impossibility to immediately withdrawal troops in Iraq - regardless of your stance on the war.

    No one wants another scenario like " the killing fields" in SE Asia where after withdrawal and political turmoil, thousands are killed. Yes, culturally and historically these wars are different, but the comparison is more about the aftermath and chaos that may ensue. If Obama or Clinton go against Romney or McCain with that immediate withdrawal sh*t, they will LOSE the national election. Believe it, and be concerned BEYOND the democratic nominee process only.

    Even if you do not agree with that comparison, just keep it simple:

    I know it is an emotional issue and it may even be the "right thing" to do, but I don't think Americans are willing to risk it after all of the sacrifices and deaths. Imagine how disastrous it would be if after American troops leave Iraq and violence picks up in Iraq again....The "surge" as its called, or whatever, has, for the moment , calmed a lot of the violence if nothing else in Iraq. its no longer in the American news.

    No democrat would ever be elected again if that scenario plays out.
    We have to get out of Iraq but in an intelligent way.
    it must be more intelligent than the way we got in the war.

    Hillary and Obama need to refine (change) their position on Iraq or face losing the general election. Or there will be a lot of sad faces in NYC come November (again).

    Folks, we are in Iraq forever, unless someone strikes fine grade oil in New York before November. You are all kidding yourselves.

    McCain, like him or not, got it right (support for "the surge") even when it wasnt popular. That will go farther than the votes in 2002...It just will.
  • 718y, we know you think that, but you're kidding yourself if you think that most Americans want to stay in Iraq. Ultimately, I don't think it will be a deal-breaker for the Republican base, but across the board, 60% of Americans want out and they know that any of the Republican candidates (except RP) represents staying in Iraq indefinitely. Supporting a rapid withdrawal will definitely not hurt the Democratic nominee.

    And HRC doesn't really support a rapid withdrawal anyway. I posted this video in the Obama thread already, but I think it's relevant here:
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